Articles and Reporting
Another excellent video from Australian military analyst Perun, this time detailing Ukraine’s vehicle losses and supply situation, a follow-up to a previous video on Russia’s side of the subject.
Relevant Statistics
All vehicle losses are visually confirmed only and thus represent the lowest possibly figure (sourced from Oryx, here and here); they are updated to the nearest 25 daily. All personnel losses are estimates or projections and should be viewed as such; they are updated as new information becomes available.
Russia
Ukraine
War Crimes and Crimes Against Humanity
Russian forces in Ukraine have committed and continue to commit war crimes and crimes against humanity in the occupied regions of Ukraine, in violation of international law and basic human decency. Russian crimes in Ukraine constitute genocide and ethnic cleansing, with Russia’s stated war aims including the elimination of Ukrainians as a separate country, language, culture, and people.
No especially notable atrocities reported today.
Overview
Ukraine
Russia continues to launch drone and missile attacks on Ukrainian cities, infrastructure, and military installations.
Ukraine has finally received its first shipment of F-16 aircraft. For now, the fighters will likely serve to bolster Ukraine’s air defenses, though the provision of long-range missiles could permit them to threaten Russian air and ground assets.
Russia
Ukrainian forces continue to launch near-daily long-range strikes on Russian oil and gas facilities, as well as airfields.
International
China claimed that it will restrict the export of drones that could be used for military purposes, though it is unclear how seriously this will be pursued or how much of an impact these restrictions might actually have on Russian supply.
The United States announced another $1.7 billion aid package for Ukraine, largely consisting of various munitions.
Regional Military Updates
Northern Theatre
🟧 Significant action. Fighting reported north of Kharkiv. Fighting reported around Vovchansk. Fighting reported in Vovchansk. Russian attacks northeast of Kupyansk made marginal gains. Fighting reported northwest of Svatove. Russian attacks southwest of Svatove made marginal gains. Fighting reported west of Kreminna.
Assessment: No change from previous assessment.
Eastern Theatre
🟧 Significant action. Fighting reported east of Siversk. Ukrainian counterattacks southeast of Siversk made marginal gains. Russian attacks towards Chasiv Yar made marginal gains. Fighting reported south of Bakhmut. Russian attacks east of Toretsk made gains. Russian assaults in Niu York made gains. Russian attacks northwest of Avdiivka limited made gains. Russian attacks west of Avdiivka made limited gains. Russian attacks around Pervomaiske marginal made gains. Russian attacks around Marinka made marginal gains. Russian attacks around Novomykhailivka made limited gains.
Assessment: No change from previous assessment.
Southern Theatre
🟩 Limited action. Fighting reported around Velyka Novosilka. Fighting reported southeast of Orikhiv. Russian attacks south of Orikhiv made marginal gains. Fighting reported southwest of Orikhiv.
Assessment: No change from previous assessment.
Dnieper Theatre
🟩 Limited action. Limited fighting reported along the Dnieper River.
Assessment: No change from previous assessment.
Weekly Conclusion
No report or assessment this week.
