Day 675
Relevant Statistics
All vehicle losses are visually confirmed only and thus represent the lowest possibly figure (sourced from Oryx, here and here); they are updated to the nearest 25 daily. All personnel losses are estimates or projections and should be viewed as such; they are updated as new information becomes available.
Russia
Ukraine
War Crimes and Crimes Against Humanity
Russian forces in Ukraine have committed and continue to commit war crimes and crimes against humanity in the occupied regions of Ukraine, in violation of international law and basic human decency. Russian crimes in Ukraine constitute genocide and ethnic cleansing, with Russia’s stated war aims including the elimination of Ukrainians as a separate country, language, culture, and people.
No especially notable atrocities reported today.
Overview
Russia launched another, smaller wave of Terror Bombing strikes on Ukraine, though larger than strikes prior to yesterday’s massive attack.
Regional Military Updates
Note: MilitaryLand maps are ten days old.
Northern Theatre
Svatove Front
Limited action. Fighting reported around Synkivka. Fighting reported northwest of Svatove. Fighting reported near Makiivka. Fighting reported west of Kreminna. Russian attacks southwest of Kreminna made marginal gains.
Bakhmut Front
Limited action. Russian attacks northwest of Bakhmut made gains. Russian attacks north of Klishchiivka made marginal gains. Fighting reported around Andriivka.
Southern Theatre
Donetsk Front
Significant action. The Russian Avdiivka Offensive is ongoing. Fighting reported northwest of Horlivka. Fighting reported southeast of Novokalynove. Russian attacks north of Stepove made marginal gains. Fighting reported around the Avdiivka Coke Plant. Fighting reported southeast of Avdiivka. Fighting reported south of Avdiivka. Fighting reported around Sieverne. Fighting reported around Pervomaiske. Fighting reported around Krasnohorivka. Fighting reported near Marinka. Fighting reported around Novomykhailivka.
Velyka Novosilka Front
Limited action. Fighting reported south of Velyka Novosilka. Fighting reported southwest of Velyka Novosilka.
Zaporizhzhia Front
Limited action. Russian attacks around Verbove possibly made gains. Russian attacks around Robotyne possibly made gains. Russian attacks around Kopani possibly made gains.
Kherson Front [Provisional]
Skirmishing continues to be reported along much of the left bank of the Dnieper River, most especially in and around Krynky.
Daily Conclusion
Ukrainian forces launched a retaliatory strike against Russia following the largest Terror Bombing attack of the war, with the Ukrainian response consisting of at least 70 drones as well as missile artillery aimed at military and defense-related manufacturing facilities in and around Belgorod, Bryansk, Moscow, Tula, and Tver.
The Russian interception rate appears to have been mediocre. Despite being faced with less than half the number of projectiles in the form of smaller, slower drones, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that only 32 targets were intercepted. At least one important target – one of the largest Russian microelectronics factories, located in Bryansk – appears to have been successfully hit.
As occurred during Russia’s attack, it appears that some of the intercepted Ukrainian projectiles landed in civilian areas, most notably in the city of Belgorod. Casualty figures appear unclear, with the largest claim at around 20 deaths. Russia also claimed that Ukraine fired cluster munitions into Belgorod; this is almost certainly false.
Ukraine has repeatedly emphasized its effort to scale up production of long-range drone munitions, most especially in recent months, in order to counter the asymmetric Russian/Iranian missile/drone threat and to ensure continued access to long-range precision munitions if Western aid remains intermittent. It seems likely that Ukraine may continue and expand these retaliatory strikes if Russian Terror Bombing attacks continue.
